Business Reporter
ACCORDING to the local stockbroker and wealth management company, Simonis Storm Securities, the outlook for the construction sector remains weak, with pipeline building activities looking bleak and actual construction projects remaining sluggishly low.
Economic analyst at Simonis Storm Securities, Theo Klein, shared that building plan data from both Windhoek and Swakopmund show a slight uptick on a monthly basis in plans being approved during February 2023. However, building plans are decreasing by 24.4% year-over-year (y/y) in Windhoek and down by 12.5% y/y in Swakopmund.
“While we are aware of major housing expansion projects in various towns at the coast and the South of Namibia such as Lüderitz and Oranjemund, these will take time to benefit local construction companies. The mixed use (residential and industrial) plots that these towns want to make available will essentially double the current size of the respective town. This comes as Lüderitz is seeing an increase in various activity such as kelp production, salmon fishing, wind farm expansions and of course preparing for green hydrogen operations. In Oranjemund, the town is trying to diversify business activities away from diamond mining and are looking at agriculture and tourism as alternatives at this point in time. However, it takes time to service land and market available erven. Therefore, we do not foresee a rebound in local construction activity in 2023,” Klein said.
According to statistics, building completions decreased by 70.2% y/y in Windhoek, but rose by 83.3% y/y in Swakopmund in February 2023. Similar to plan approvals, completed projects were focused in the residential segment of the market.
Building plan approvals were mainly concentrated in the residential segment of the market, with new residential developments and additions to residential properties accounting for over 95% of all building plans being approved in Windhoek and Swakopmund.
Klein explained that these projects are typically low in value and would weigh on revenues for construction companies that are used to larger commercial or industrial building projects.
“Indeed, the average building completion value dropped from N$218 million in 2020 to N$81 million in 2021 and 2022,” Klein said.
He added that according to the Bank of Namibia (BoN), retailers have been one of the biggest drivers of corporate debt growth throughout 2022. However, commercial building plan approvals have been significantly low in recent months.
“Local property companies indicate that tenants are investing in their shops following the economic recovery from the lockdown induced recession in 2020. Taken together, we therefore see these loans mostly being used to refurbish existing shops and not necessarily building new retail space in the country,” Klein said.
File photo for illustrative purposes only.
